Прогноз на матч Есенице – Кортина

Jesenice enter this matchup with more structure and energy at home. The first line, led by Petroniro and Koblar, consistently drives offensive pressure and controls possession deep in the offensive zone. Their recent home form remains solid, averaging around 36 shots per game with effective transitions and strong forechecking.

Cortina, on the other hand, continues to struggle defensively — gaps appear between lines, allowing opponents to take high-danger shots. Goalie Karjalainen has been inconsistent, holding an SV% below 0.90, which exposes the team even more under sustained pressure.

The market movement reflects growing confidence in Jesenice: the money line dropped from 2.28 to 2.10, indicating roughly +2.5% EV. The hosts have the tempo, better xG ratio, and crowd momentum in their favor.

**Pick: Jesenice ML @2.10 — solid value with edge in pace, structure, and home efficiency.**